APPLICATION OF THE IPTA METHOD FOR DETECTING PRECIPITATION CHANGES UNDER A CHANGING CLIMATE A CASE STUDY APPROACH

J. PASTAGIA, D. MEHTA, A.A. CHADEE, S. VERMA, A. RATHOD

Abstract


It is well known that hydro-meteorological variables' intensity, frequency, and variability increase irregularly under climate change. One of the most important hydro-meteorological variables is precipitation. One of the best methods for assessing climate change effects on any time series is trend analysis. A new graphical technique has recently challenged the traditional trend analysis method. Precipitation data for 120 years were applied for analysis. Gujarat's Navsari District is located in the southern portion of the state and is bordered by the Valsad District borders the south, the east, and the north by the Surat District, and to the west by the Arabian Sea. The study aims to check the possibility of changes in monthly precipitation. Based on the results, IPTA determined an increasing trend for August and September precipitation. The polygon of standard deviation and mean graphs created by IPTA provides a monthly cycle, providing useful data for the study area's decision-makers and water utility sectors. As a result of the survey, it can be seen that the precipitation data varies from year to year because the IPTA graph of each station does not have a regular polygon. The findings of this study are important for assessing drought and flood risk and managing water resources sustainably in the study area.


Keywords


Trend analysis, IPTA, Graphical method, Ambica River, Precipitation

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References


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